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The Theory of Counterinsurgency in Six
Easy Paragraphs
By William Christie
January 31, 2006
Special to Defense and the National Interest
A neighbor and I were discussing my previous
commentary, Still Looking Out From the Forest of Iraq: At Iran.
“I know the media’s all hot about Iran,” he said.
“But I’m a lot more worried about Iraq.”
“You’re not alone,” I said. “Even when the military
officers I correspond with talk about Iran, their minds are still on
Iraq.”
“I don’t know who to believe,” he said. “If you
listen to the press, it’s all bad and the military and government are
selling you a bill of goods. If you listen to the military and government,
we’re winning and the press is only looking for the bad.”
“They might both be right,” I said. “In counterinsurgency
you can win all the battles and still lose the war.”
He asked me to explain that, and I said I’d try
and put a few thoughts down on paper.
“Wait a minute,” he said. “I know you writers
like to write. How about something short.”
“That’s a tall order,” I said. “It’s a subject
that doesn’t led itself to short.”
“I have a job and a wife and kids I like to spent
time with,” he replied. “I need short. And how about something I can
relate to?”
So here is a theory of counterinsurgency. In
six paragraphs and the form of a parable. Set in the rural South, where
we both live.
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The house next door to you is sold,
and the people who move in are white supremacist skinheads.
You discover that they’ve started up a methamphetamine lab
in their basement. You think about calling your County Sheriff’s
Department, but you’re not so sure. The cops strike you
as generally overweight and none too swift. The only time
you ever see them is in the mall, two cruisers parked side
by side, the deputies gossiping and waiting for the next
radio call instead of being on patrol. You’re afraid that
if you tell them about your neighbors the news will leak
out and you’ll get your house burned down one night. After
all, you have a wife and kids and a mortgage.
But one day the SWAT team shows up to
serve a warrant and kicks down the neighbor’s door and drags
them off to jail. You’re incredibly pleased and highly relieved.
You vow that the next time the Department is doing some
charity work you’ll write a check. And you tell one of the
deputies that if he sees you out in the yard to stop and
you’ll let him know what’s going on in the neighborhood.
Now let’s shift that scenario to a slightly
alternate universe where the Bill of Rights doesn’t apply.
The Sheriff’s Department gets the word that someone in the
neighborhood is cooking meth. They don’t know who, but since
no one in the neighborhood is telling them anything they
think everyone might be white supremacists. So one night
they kick down your door looking for the meth lab. They
point guns at your kids and your wife and scare them half
to death. While searching your home they break your furniture
and throw your belongings everywhere. And they slap you
around trying to get you to tell them where the meth lab
is. By now you’ve forgotten all about your scary neighbors—you
just want to get even with those cops.
Even worse, let’s say that the cops
find out exactly where the meth lab is. But they’re afraid
of the neighborhood, and they don’t want to get shot at
taking down the lab. So they call in a fighter bomber and
drop a 500 lb guided bomb on your neighbor’s house. That
takes care of the meth lab, but it also blows down one wall
of your house, breaks every window, and destroys the car
you need to get to work every day. You don’t know what you’re
going to do.
A couple of nights later, another neighbor
comes to your door and says he’s making a bomb to blow up
the next patrol car that comes down the road. And would
you help him dig the hole for $100?
You’d probably do it for nothing, wouldn’t
you?
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William Christie is a former Marine Corps infantry officer
who left the Corps as a First Lieutenant in 1987. He is the author of
5 novels, including most recently The Blood We Shed, currently
in hardcover from ibooks. And Threat Level, which will be published
in October by Pinnacle Books/Kensington Press. He can be reached at
christieauthor@yahoo.com.
Also by William Christie:
Still Looking Out
From the Forest of Iraq: At Iran
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